.png)
Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. speaks during a campaign event at Independence Mall, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023, in Philadelphia. Matt Rourke/AP
The relatively quiet lead-up to the 2024 presidential primaries saw a significant development when Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew his primary challenge against President Joe Biden, opting instead to run as an independent. This decision has led to spirited reactions, particularly from former President Donald Trump and Republicans who are concerned about polling data suggesting that Kennedy could erode Trump's support. Cornel West, a progressive scholar and activist set to secure the Green Party's nomination, similarly announced his independent candidacy. The possibility of multiple independent candidates in the 2024 election has introduced unprecedented uncertainty for both major parties.
Kennedy's exit from the Democratic primary has marked a new chapter in a campaign dominated by Biden and Trump. Although the impact of Kennedy's campaign on Trump's prospects remains uncertain, some pro-Trump Republicans are closely monitoring him, highlighting Kennedy's past as an environmental activist.
The Republican National Committee (RNC) issued a statement characterizing Kennedy as a "radical, far-left Democrat." Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung criticized Kennedy, particularly regarding his views on vaccines and social issues. Some believe Kennedy's appeal to voters who are disenchanted with the political system could be problematic for Trump. Additionally, his stance on vaccines might attract a particular voter bloc that typically doesn't align with Trump's base. While Kennedy's candidacy doesn't seem to pose a significant threat to Biden, the possibility of independent candidates reminds Democrats of previous elections where third-party candidates garnered substantial votes, affecting the outcomes in key states. Biden's campaign remains focused on turning out supporters, persuading undecided voters, and building a winning coalition.
Cornel West, initially positioned to run as a Green Party candidate, has also opted to run as an independent, alleviating concerns among Democrats about potential vote-splitting.
The potential entry of No Labels, a well-funded group, into the race as a centrist, third-party candidate remains a primary concern for Democrats. They worry that this could appeal to centrist and center-right voters who are not enthusiastic about Biden but wouldn't vote for Trump.
The presence of independent candidates in the 2024 presidential race has introduced a new level of uncertainty. While Biden's campaign remains confident, the impact of these candidates on the election's outcome remains to be seen, especially considering past elections where third-party candidates played pivotal roles.
